Lo mkhuba wokwehla kulindeleke ukuthi uqhubeke, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yokufunwa okuphansi, izindleko eziphansi zezinto zokusetshenziswa kanye nokunikezwa okwanele.
Njengoba singena kwikota yesine, amanani e-PE, PP, PS, PVC kanye ne-PET aqhubeke nokwehla kusukela ngoJulayi, ngenxa yokwehla kwesidingo, ukutholakala okwanele, ukwehla kwezindleko zezinto zokusetshenziswa kanye nokungaqiniseki okuvamile emnothweni womhlaba. Endabeni ye-polyethylene kanye ne-polypropylene, ukuqaliswa kwamandla amasha abalulekile kungenye into, kuyilapho ukungeniswa kwezimpahla ngentengo encintisanayo kuyinkinga ye-PET kanye mhlawumbe ne-polystyrene.
Nasi umbono kaMichael Greenberg, uMxhumanisi Wokuthengwa Kwempahla kwaResin Technology, Inc. (RTi), uMhlaziyi Omkhulu kwaPetroChemWire (PCW), i-CEO ye-The Plastics Exchange, kanye noScott Newell, i-EVP Polyolefins kwa-resin distributor kanye ne-componder Spartan Polymers.
Naphezu kokuba abahlinzeki be-polyethylene bememezele ukwenyuka kwentengo ngamasenti angu-5-7 ngephawundi ngoSepthemba-Okthoba, amanani e-polyethylene ehle okungenani ngamasenti angu-4 aya kumasenti angu-6 ngephawundi ngo-Agasti futhi kulindeleke ukuthi ehle kakhulu ngoSepthemba, kusho uDavid Barry. . Umqondisi Ohlangene we-PCW we-Polyethylene, i-Polystyrene, ne-Polystyrene uRobin Chesshire, iPhini likaMongameli we-RTi we-Polyethylene, i-Polystyrene, ne-Nylon-6 Markets, kanye noGreenberg we-Plastics Exchange. Esikhundleni salokho, le mithombo ngokuvamile ikholelwa ukuthi amanani cishe azokwehla kancane ngo-Okthoba nakule nyanga.
I-Chesshire ye-RTi iphawule ukuthi isidingo se-polyethylene sihlale siqinile isikhathi esiningi sonyaka, kodwa ekupheleni kukaSepthemba sase sehlile ezigabeni eziningi zemakethe. UBarry we-PCW uphawule ukuthi izindleko zezinto zokusetshenziswa eziphansi, akukho zimpawu zokunyuka kwesidingo kanye nokuvulwa kwamandla amasha amakhulu avela eShell ngeke kunyuse amanani. Uphinde waphawula ukuthi amanani entengo ye-polyethylene ehle ngamasenti angu-4 kuya kumasenti angu-7 ngephawundi kusukela ngoSepthemba: "Isidingo sokuthumela ngaphandle sisalokhu sibuthakathaka, abahwebi banempahla enkulu, futhi kukhona ukungaqiniseki mayelana nokunyakaza kwentengo ngenyanga ezayo. Akukacaci njengoba amakhasimende elindele ukwehla kwentengo esikhathini esizayo."
Imithombo iphinde yaphawula ukuthi abahlinzeki banciphise ukukhiqizwa. Ngo-Okthoba, uGreenberg uchaze imakethe yendawo: “Iningi labaprosesa lisathenga i-resin kuphela uma kudingeka, kanti abanye abaprosesa baqala ukuthenga i-resin eyengeziwe njengoba amanani eba mahle, yize isidingo sabathengi ezimbonini eziningi ezingezansi sehlile ngenxa yezimo zomnotho nezomnotho. Ukwehla kwamandla emali kuyakhathaza Abakhiqizi kanye nabanye abaphakeli abakhulu be-resin bayaqhubeka nokuhleka usulu ngamanani aphansi njengoba umkhuba we-bearish ushintsha, kanye nezinombolo zokusebenza eziphansi kanye namanani aphezulu e-Asia, ngokucabanga ukuthi lokhu kusize ekuthuthukiseni isidingo sasekhaya njengoba abanye abathengi beveze ukukhathazeka ngenzuzo elahlekile. amadili amakhulu kanye namanani ashibhile okugcina.”
Amanani e-polypropylene ehle ngesenti eli-1/lb ngo-Agasti, kuyilapho amanani e-propylene monomer enyuke ngamasenti ama-2/lb, kodwa izinzuzo zabaphakeli zehle ngamasenti ama-3. Ngokusho kukaBarry we-PCW, uNewell we-Spartan Polymers kanye ne-Plastic Exchange, amanani e-polypropylene kaSepthemba ehle ngamasenti ayi-8 ngephawundi, amanani okuxazululwa kwezinkontileka ze-monomer ehle ngamasenti ama-5 ngephawundi, kanti abaphakeli balahlekelwe amanye amasenti ama-3 ngenxa yenzuzo ephansi. lb. Greenberg. Ngaphezu kwalokho, le mithombo ikholelwa ukuthi amanani angase ehle futhi kakhulu ngo-Okthoba, kuyilapho amanani engakashintshi noma ehle ngisho nakule nyanga.
UBarry ubona ukwehla okungenzeka kube ngamadijithi amabili ngo-Okthoba, ecaphuna isidingo esinciphile kanye nokunikezwa ngokweqile. Ngokuphathelene nale nyanga, ubona kungenzeka ukuthi kuzokwehla okwengeziwe njengoba i-Exxon Mobil yethula isitshalo esisha se-polypropylene kanti i-Heartland Polymer inyusa umkhiqizo esitshalweni sayo esisha. I-Newell ilindele ukuthi amanani e-propylene monomer ehle ngamasenti angu-5 kuya kwangu-8 ngephawundi ngenxa yokwehla kwamanani entengo yomhlaba wonke. Usengozini yokwehla okwengeziwe kwenzuzo. Uqaphele ukuthi abahlinzeki be-polypropylene kulindeleke ukuthi banciphise umkhiqizo ngenxa yokwenyuka kwe-£175m ngoJulayi-Agasti njengoba isidingo sehla. Inani lezinsuku zokulethwa likhuphuke laya ezinsukwini ezingu-40 ngoSepthemba uma kuqhathaniswa nezinsuku ezivamile ezingu-30-31 emakethe elinganiselayo. Le mithombo ibonise izaphulelo zamasenti ayi-10 kuya kwangu-20 ngephawundi uma kuqhathaniswa namanani entengo yemakethe eqondile.
UGreenberg uchaze imakethe ye-PP spot njengehamba kancane njengoba isidingo esibuthakathaka siqhubeke kuze kube ngu-Okthoba futhi wathi lokhu kungenxa yokwehla komnotho womhlaba, ukungaqiniseki kwezomnotho kwesikhathi esifushane, ukukhiqizwa kwe-resin ngokweqile kanye nabathengi ababonisa imisipha yabo ezingxoxweni. "Uma abakhiqizi beqhubeka nokuhola futhi bewina ama-oda ngokushintsha amasheya, kunokuba banciphise umkhiqizo ukuze balinganisele ukunikezwa nesidingo, singase sibone ukwehla okwengeziwe kwenzuzo esikhathini esizayo."
Ngemva kokwehla ngamasenti angu-22 kuya kumasenti angu-25 ngephawundi ngo-Agasti, amanani e-polystyrene ehle ngamasenti angu-11 ngephawundi ngoSepthemba, kanti i-PCW's Barry and RTi's Chesshire ilindele ukwehla okwengeziwe ngo-Okthoba kanye nenyanga eyodwa. Lesi sakamuva saphawula ukuthi ukwehla kwe-PS ngoSepthemba kwakungaphansi kokwehla kwama-14c/lb emananini ezinto zokusetshenziswa, futhi sakhomba ukwehla okuqhubekayo kwesidingo kanye nezindleko eziphansi zezinto zokusetshenziswa ezisekela ukwehla okuqhubekayo, ngaphandle kokuphazamiseka okukhulu kokukhiqiza.
UBarry wase-PCW unombono ofanayo. Amanani e-polystyrene akhuphuke ngamasenti angu-53 ngephawundi kusukela ngoFebhuwari kodwa ehle ngamasenti angu-36 ngephawundi ekuqaleni kwekota yesine, kusho yena. Ubona ithuba lokunciphisa okwengeziwe, ephawula ukuthi abahlinzeki kungadingeka banciphise kakhulu ukukhiqizwa kwe-styrene monomer kanye ne-polystyrene resin.
Uphinde waphawula ukuthi nakuba ukungeniswa kwe-polystyrene resin ngokwesiko bekungaba ngu-5% wezinto ezitholakalayo, ukungeniswa kwe-polystyrene resin okunentengo ekhangayo okuvela e-Asia kuthuthele kule ngxenye yomhlaba, ikakhulukazi eLatin America, njengoba amazinga okuthutha manje esephansi kakhulu. “Kusazobonakala ukuthi lokhu kuzoba yinkinga yini kubahlinzeki be-polystyrene baseNyakatho Melika,” esho.
Ngokusho kukaMark Kallman, iphini likamongameli we-RTi we-PVC kanye nama-resin obunjiniyela, kanye noDonna Todd, umhleli omkhulu kwa-PCW, amanani e-PVC ehle ngamasenti ama-5 ngephawundi ngo-Agasti kanye namanye amasenti ama-5 ngephawundi ngoSepthemba, okwenza ukwehla okuphelele kube ngamasenti ayi-15 ngephawundi. kwikota yesithathu. UKalman angabona ukwehla okufanayo ngo-Okthoba nakule nyanga. Izici ezibangela lokhu kuhlanganisa ukwehla okuqhubekayo kwesidingo kusukela ngoMeyi, ukutholakala okuningi emakethe kanye nokusabalala okukhulu phakathi kwamanani okuthumela kwamanye amazwe nawasekhaya.
UTodd we-PCW uqaphele ukuthi ukwehla okukhulu kangaka kwamanani esikhathini esifushane kangaka akukaze kwenzeke emakethe ye-PVC, futhi abaningi ababambe iqhaza emakethe babenethemba lokuthi amanani e-PVC ngeke ehle kwikota yokuqala ka-2023, njengoba okungenani uchwepheshe wemakethe oyedwa abikezela. . . . Ekuqaleni kuka-Okthoba, wabika ukuthi “Ngenkathi abaprosesa bamapayipi e-PVC bengathanda ukubona izindleko ze-resin eziphansi, amanani e-PVC ehla njengesitimela sempahla esibalekayo empeleni angababiza imali njengoba amanani e-resin ehlisa amanani epayipi. Kwezinye izimo, amanani epayipi ancishisiwe. ehla ngokushesha kunamanani e-resin. Abasebenzisa kabusha kwamanye amamakethe, njenge-siding kanye ne-flooring, bangakolunye uhlangothi lwe-equation ngoba lezi zimakethe azikwazi ukudlulisela ukwanda okugcwele kwamanani e-resin kumakhasimende abo. Bakhululekile ukubona amanani ehla ngokushesha okukhulu, ngaleyo ndlela bebuyisela ibhizinisi labo ezingeni elithile lenzuzo.”
Amanani e-PET ehle ngamasenti ama-2 aya kumasenti ama-3/lb ngoSepthemba ngemuva kokwehla ngamasenti angama-20/lb ngoJulayi-Agasti, konke lokhu kungenxa yokwehla kwezindleko zezinto zokusetshenziswa. UCullman we-RTi ulindele ukuthi amanani ehle amanye amasenti ama-2-3 ngephawundi ngo-Okthoba, kanti amanani aphansi noma aphansi kancane phakathi nenyanga. Isidingo sisasesihle impela, kodwa imakethe yasekhaya ihlinzekwa kahle futhi ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kuyaqhubeka nokugeleza ngamanani amahle, kusho yena.
Izici zifaka phakathi isidingo esikhulu sasekhaya kanye/noma sokuthumela kwamanye amazwe, amasheya abahlinzeki alinganiselwe kanye nezindleko eziphezulu zezinto zokusetshenziswa ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kokukhiqiza.